451
ACUS11 KWNS 192253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192252
NEZ000-200015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1728
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEBRASKA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 526...
VALID 192252Z - 200015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 526 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE TO VERY-LARGE HAIL, SEVERE WINDS, AND A TORNADO OR
TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST TORNADO RISK WILL BE WITH
SUPERCELLS NEAR I-80 IN SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...TWO AREAS OF MORE INTENSE ACTIVITY ARE EVIDENT IN
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY. A SEVERE STORM SOUTHEAST OF AINSWORTH HAS A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD. A CONTINUED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS STORM, THOUGH A POCKET OF COOLER AIR IS ALSO NOTED IN
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DOWNSTREAM.
ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS NEAR AND EAST OF NORTH PLATTE WILL
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST, ROUGHLY ALONG I-80. THE LEAD SUPERCELL HAS HAD A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING 2.75-3 INCH MEASURED HAIL. ACTIVITY TO THE WEST
PRODUCED 1.75 INCH HAIL IN NORTH PLATTE RECENTLY. SHOULD THE LEAD
SUPERCELL MAINTAIN INTENSITY, IT WOULD POSE THE GREATEST TORNADO
RISK. LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL MARGINALLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING,
THOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL JET RESPONSE IN SOUTHERN NEBRASKA IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE STRONG.
..WENDT.. 07/19/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 41010106 41400090 41690032 41729986 41789966 41979964
42149969 42689976 42859955 42719892 42609865 42179842
41879852 41629904 41149910 40769911 40379948 40189970
40149993 40310043 41010106
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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