360
ACUS11 KWNS 200006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200005
NEZ000-KSZ000-200130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1729
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0705 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529...
VALID 200005Z - 200130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A NARROW WINDOW FOR A LOCALLY GREATER TORNADO THREAT WILL
EXIST WITH SUPERCELLS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AN ADDITIONAL RISK
OF SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS THIS ACTIVITY GROWS
UPSCALE.
DISCUSSION...TWO SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS
FROM KUEX SHOWING AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SRH OVER THE LAST HOUR,
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE SOME POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A TORNADO. HOWEVER,
THAT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY BE RELATIVE CONFINED IN TIME GIVEN
THE ONGOING SIGNS OF UPSCALE GROWTH ON LOCAL RADAR. WHEN THIS
OCCURS, A GREATER THREAT FOR SEVERE/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD EXIST.
LARGE HAIL REMAINS POSSIBLE, BUT MRMS MESH ESTIMATES HAVE COME DOWN
AS STORM INTERACTION HAS STEADILY INCREASED.
..WENDT.. 07/20/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 40660030 41019975 41089958 40799868 40149862 39989904
39899936 39999979 40180006 40490034 40660030
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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