502  
ACUS11 KWNS 200210  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 200210  
KSZ000-NEZ000-200415-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0910 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER REGION  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529...  
 
VALID 200210Z - 200415Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 529  
CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE  
NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  
 
DISCUSSION...A SMALL BOWING SEGMENT HAS DEVELOPED FROM AN EARLIER  
SUPERCELL AND IS MOVING EAST JUST WEST OF BLUE HILL. THIS HAS SHOWN  
A STRONGER WIND SIGNAL FROM KUEX VELOCITY DATA WITH A SMALL REGION  
OF 60-70 KTS AT ABOUT 1500 FT. MEASURED GUSTS OF 60-70 MPH HAVE  
OCCURRED WITH THIS STORM OVER THE LAST HOUR. WITH THE INCREASE IN  
THE LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING, ADDITIONAL STORMS HAVE ALSO DEVELOP  
AHEAD OF AND TO THE SOUTH OF THIS STORM. SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS ARE  
THE PRIMARY HAZARD THIS EVENING, PARTICULARLY WITH THE STORM WEST OF  
BLUE HILL. THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE WITH 40 KTS  
OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND 3500 J/KG OF MLCAPE. HOWEVER, MLCIN IS ALSO  
INCREASING. ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS APPEAR  
POSSIBLE. WHETHER ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL BE NEEDED INTO SOUTHEAST  
NEBRASKA/NORTHEAST KANSAS IS NOT CLEAR.  
 
..WENDT.. 07/20/2025  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...GLD...  
 
LAT...LON 39380000 40529930 40719750 40419670 39779662 39429758  
39359884 39380000  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN  
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