453
ACUS11 KWNS 292039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292039
NVZ000-IDZ000-ORZ000-CAZ000-292245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1835
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEASTERN NEVADA INTO SOUTHWESTERN OREGON
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 292039Z - 292245Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON
WITH DRY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. WEATHER WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ONGOING IN A DEEPLY-MIXED, DRY
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN SOME CHANCES OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS. WITH LCL HEIGHTS AT 3.5KM AND LOW-LEVEL RH
WELL BELOW 20%, EVAPORATIVE COOLING WITHIN DOWNDRAFTS WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
..HALBERT.. 07/29/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BOI...LKN...REV...MFR...
LAT...LON 41161864 41061930 41081970 41282005 41452017 41732031
42062034 42402028 42642004 42881960 43011914 43011871
42931809 42821762 42641729 42451710 42181701 42001697
41851696 41681698 41531711 41451724 41351762 41211821
41161864
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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