515
ACUS11 KWNS 300136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300136
NEZ000-300300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1840
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0836 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 300136Z - 300300Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SOME INCREASE IN SEVERE GUSTS MAY BE NOTED WITH A
STRENGTHENING MCS ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE
BEING MONITORED FOR THE NEED OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
DISCUSSION...A COLD-POOL-DRIVEN, ELONGATED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM HAS
RECENTLY ORIENTED MORE NORMAL TO THE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTOR, WHICH
MAY BE SUPPORTING BOWING FEATURES. FURTHERMORE, THE MCS IS
PROPAGATING INTO THE AXIS OF MAXIMUM BUOYANCY (5000-6000 J/KG
MLCAPE) AND MINIMAL MLCINH. THEREFORE, IT IS PLAUSIBLE TO WITNESS AN
INCREASE IN SEVERE WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.
..SQUITIERI/MOSIER.. 07/30/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...
LAT...LON 41559939 41859844 41969717 41729645 41229594 40659588
40519607 40359657 40139796 40169883 40189947 41559939
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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