036
ACUS03 KWNS 310751
SWODY3
SPC AC 310750
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
CORRECTED FOR INCORRECT DAY REFERENCE
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS VICINITY ON SATURDAY.
..DISCUSSION
RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL DEAMPLIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND
INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THIS FRONT THROUGH THE PERIOD. WEAK
SHEAR AND WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD MOSTLY LIMIT SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. MODERATE MID-LEVEL FLOW AND HEIGHT
FALLS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS MAY SUPPORT SOME SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN PLACE
WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ANTICIPATED. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. A
GREATER WIND THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE IF GREATER STORM COVERAGE
OCCURS AND STORMS GROW UPSCALE AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS
DURING THE EVENING.
..BENTLEY.. 07/31/2025
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