484  
ACUS03 KWNS 040717  
SWODY3  
SPC AC 040716  
 
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0216 AM CDT MON AUG 04 2025  
 
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z  
 
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF  
THE NORTH-CENTRAL U.S....  
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH SEVERE GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE  
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL U.S. ON WEDNESDAY.  
   
..CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
 
 
A LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN U.S. ON WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE, A MOIST  
AIRMASS SHOULD BE LOCATED FROM THE GREAT PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY. AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM ON WEDNESDAY, MODERATE  
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE MOIST AIRMASS.  
DUE TO THE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN AND LACK OF ANY SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH, LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK OVER MUCH OF  
THE NORTH-CENTRAL U.S. IN SPITE OF THIS, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY  
DEVELOP IN AREAS THAT HEAT UP THAT MOST, OR ALONG PRE-EXISTING  
BOUNDARIES. FOR CELLS THAT INITIATE AND PERSIST, DEEP-LAYER SHEAR  
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. A FEW SEVERE  
GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT ANY THREAT SHOULD REMAIN  
LOCALIZED.  
 
..BROYLES.. 08/04/2025  
 

 
 
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