717
ACUS02 KWNS 041726
SWODY2
SPC AC 041724
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2025
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY OVER
PARTS OF NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTH DAKOTA...
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE GUSTS AND ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS ON TUESDAY.
..DAKOTAS
A PROMINENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER NORTHERN CA/SOUTHERN OR WILL
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND TOP THE UPPER RIDGE ON TUESDAY. AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MT AND INTO
WESTERN ND BY AFTERNOON, PROMOTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT RAPID
DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF MORNING CLOUDS/PRECIP,
WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500+ J/KG ACROSS A BROAD REGION OF THE
DAKOTAS AND NORTHERN NE. THE STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO OR TWO. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE UPSCALE BY EARLY
EVENING, TRACKING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND NORTHERN NE WITH A
CONTINUED RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
..HART.. 08/04/2025
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