318  
FNUS21 KWNS 061613  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1113 AM CDT WED AUG 06 2025  
 
VALID 061700Z - 071200Z  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO  
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...  
 
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK, WITH ONLY SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS  
MADE TO THE ONGOING HIGHLIGHTS TO REFLECT THE LATEST GUIDANCE  
CONSENSUS.  
 
..SQUITIERI.. 08/06/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION  
/ISSUED 0153 AM CDT WED AUG 06 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS  
 
BROAD MIDLEVEL TROUGHING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS,  
WHILE AN EXPANSIVE MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE REMAINS CENTERED ON  
THE SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN ROCKIES.  
   
..GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES  
 
BETWEEN THE MIDLEVEL TROUGHING AND EXPANSIVE MID/UPPER-LEVEL  
ANTICYCLONE, A BELT OF ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW  
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL  
ROCKIES. A DIURNALLY DEEPENING PBL WILL EXTENT INTO THIS ENHANCED  
FLOW ALOFT, YIELDING AN EXPANSIVE OVERLAP OF AROUND 20 MPH SUSTAINED  
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AND 10-15 PERCENT RH. THESE  
CONDITIONS, COMBINED WITH HIGHLY RECEPTIVE FUELS, WILL FAVOR ANOTHER  
DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.  
   
..DRY THUNDERSTORMS - SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES  
 
BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING BENEATH A PLUME OF WELL-ESTABLISHED MIDLEVEL  
MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL  
YIELD SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY (CHARACTERIZED BY INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS)  
FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT --  
GENERALLY FOCUSED ALONG TERRAIN FEATURES. PW VALUES OF 0.50 TO 0.75  
INCHES WILL PROMOTE MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS, WHICH WILL POSE A RISK  
OF LIGHTNING-INDUCED IGNITIONS AND STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
 
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