048
FNUS22 KWNS 091928
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 PM CDT SAT AUG 09 2025
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
ACROSS ARIZONA IN LINE WITH RECENT MODEL TRENDS. OTHERWISE, THE
ELEVATED REMAINS UNCHANGED. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
..THORNTON.. 08/09/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0118 AM CDT SAT AUG 09 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST/FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. VERY DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE GREATER GREAT BASIN
AND WESTERN FOUR CORNERS WITH ANOTHER DAY OF 5-15% RH MINIMUMS
LIKELY. SHORT TO MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE DEPICTS THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK
MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. WHILE SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAIRLY MODEST (GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH), AUGMENTED FLOW NEAR THE
TOP OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD PROMOTE FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN
20-25 MPH OVER A REGION WITH DRY FUELS AND ACTIVE FIRES, RESULTING
IN PERIODS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL ALSO PROMOTE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN
AZ TO EASTERN NM. WHILE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST ACROSS NM, MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION
DEVELOPING ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM SHOULD RESIDE IN A
DRY/DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page