421
ACUS11 KWNS 110129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110129
OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-110330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1926
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0829 PM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN COLORADO...NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 585...
VALID 110129Z - 110330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 585
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK CONTINUES.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED ROBUST CONVECTION PERSISTS ACROSS THE PLAINS
OF EASTERN CO INTO NORTHEAST NM, SUPPORTED IN PART BY FAVORABLE
UPSLOPE BOUNDARY-LAYER FLOW. SOUTHWESTERN FLANK OF WESTERN U.S.
TROUGH APPEARS TO BE AIDING THIS ACTIVITY AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS
SPREADING INTO THIS REGION. LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGESTS
SUBSTANTIAL BUOYANCY PERSISTS AHEAD OF THIS CONVECTION, THUS
LONGEVITY IS ANTICIPATED WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY PROPAGATE
DOWNSTREAM TOWARD WESTERN KS AND PORTIONS OF THE OK/NORTHERN TX
PANHANDLE REGION. HAIL REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN, THOUGH DAMAGING
WINDS MAY BECOME MORE COMMON ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF MORE
ORGANIZED MCS CLUSTERS.
..DARROW.. 08/11/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36740503 40900506 40910219 36740234 36740503
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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