198  
ACUS11 KWNS 191816  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 191815  
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-191945-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1992  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0115 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2025  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL INDIANA INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN OHIO  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY  
 
VALID 191815Z - 191945Z  
 
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT  
 
SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON  
FROM CENTRAL INDIANA TO NORTHERN OHIO.  
 
DISCUSSION...RAPID DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED AHEAD OF THE FRONT  
FROM CENTRAL INDIANA TO NORTHERN OHIO. HOWEVER, VERY WEAK MID-LEVEL  
LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE INTENSITY. SOME  
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW (~30-40 KNOTS) IS BEING SAMPLED BY THE KCLE  
VWP. HOWEVER, FLOW IS WEAKER ACROSS INDIANA WHICH WILL BE MORE  
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SHEAR ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY RESULT IN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, BUT  
OVERALL, EXPECT THE THREAT TO REMAIN MOSTLY MARGINAL/ISOLATED.  
 
..BENTLEY/GLEASON.. 08/19/2025  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...  
 
LAT...LON 39568748 39958663 40288589 40658499 41008419 41408328  
41508269 41578226 41528181 40928168 40238243 39808293  
39368362 39108440 38928542 38628654 38718705 38958734  
39568748  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH  
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