834
ACUS03 KWNS 280713
SWODY3
SPC AC 280712
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CDT THU AUG 28 2025
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON
SATURDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL EJECT INTO THE ATLANTIC FROM NEW ENGLAND AS
UPPER RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE ROCKIES, AND A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH IMPINGES ON THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COASTLINE ON SATURDAY. A
BROAD NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-FLOW REGIME WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER
THE CENTRAL U.S., WITH SURFACE LEE TROUGHING ENCOURAGING WARM AND
MOIST LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. DURING THE AFTERNOON, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN CO/NM AND ADVANCE EASTWARD DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. BUOYANCY DOES NOT LOOK PARTICULARLY STRONG, AND
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD BE MODEST AT BEST. NONETHELESS, A FEW
STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER EASTERN CO/NM INTO WESTERN KS TO THE
TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS AND HAIL
APPROACHING SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER, THE SPARSE NATURE OF THE SEVERE
THREAT, AND UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING WHERE THE BEST BUOYANCY/SHEAR
WILL OVERLAP, PRECLUDE SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
..SQUITIERI.. 08/28/2025
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