154
ACUS01 KWNS 311250
SWODY1
SPC AC 311249
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
VALID 311300Z - 011200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
MODEST-STRENGTH MID-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL PERSIST
OVER THE GREAT PLAINS, TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES-CENTERED UPPER
RIDGE AND AN UPPER LOW OFF THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WEAK
CONVERGENCE/SUBTLE SURFACE TROUGHING WILL BE PREVALENT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A PERSISTENTLY MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. ALTHOUGH A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF
KANSAS/OKLAHOMA INTO TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING, THE
COMBINATION OF ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY AND RELATIVELY WEAK
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO
AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH
SOME STRONGER WIND GUSTS A POSSIBILITY.
..GUYER/BENTLEY.. 08/31/2025
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