564
ACUS11 KWNS 040021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040020
KSZ000-040115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2029
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 605...
VALID 040020Z - 040115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 605
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SUPERCELL CAPABLE OF LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD.
DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL THAT HAS PRODUCED NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL
REPORTS INCLUDING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE (2.75"). RECENT REPORTS
OF WINDS 60-70 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AS WELL, SUGGESTING POTENTIAL
FOR WIND DRIVEN HAIL. IT APPEARS THIS SUPERCELL WILL BE SUSTAINED
DOWNSTREAM FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, GIVEN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH AMPLE MLCAPE, DEEP LAYER SHEAR, AND STEEP LAPSE RATES. HAIL 2-3
INCHES AND GUSTS 60-70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. A SECOND SUPERCELL IS
ALSO TRACKING SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE LEAD CELL AND WILL ALSO BE
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.
..THORNTON.. 09/04/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
LAT...LON 37739768 37549759 37359746 37259735 37189712 37179679
37269652 37529654 37829672 38079687 38369713 38319741
38309766 38239787 37999779 37739768
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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