842
ACUS11 KWNS 090031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090031
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-090330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2051
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT MON SEP 08 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO THE NORTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 608...
VALID 090031Z - 090330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 608
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING HAIL MAY PERSIST FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS FROM FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING HAIL, SOME WITH A HISTORY OF
SIZES > 2-3", CONTINUE TO AFFECT A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWEST KS,
NORTHWEST OK, AND THE NORTHEAST TX PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. ISOLATED
ACTIVITY ALSO EXTENDS INTO NORTH-CENTRAL OK, THOUGH THESE STORMS ARE
WEAKER AND WILL BE MITIGATED BY INCREASING CIN AND COOLER UPSTREAM
SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
THE MORE ROBUST STORMS, SITUATED ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE KS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AND EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR THE SURFACE THERMAL RIDGE,
ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE GREATER LONGEVITY AS CAPPING WILL BE SLOWER TO
INCREASE THERE. A MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET UP TO 40 KT WILL ALSO HELP TO
MAINTAIN BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING/WARMTH, FURTHER SUPPORTING A NARROW
CORRIDOR OF PERSISTENT THREAT WELL INTO THE EVENING AND WEST OF THE
LARGER CIN.
..JEWELL.. 09/09/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 35780200 37190019 37299974 37169900 36979830 36749786
36589774 36469766 36359775 35979857 35559988 35530117
35570205 35780200
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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