640
FNUS22 KWNS 121944
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..DAY 2 UPDATE
NO CHANGES NEEDED TO PREVIOUS FORECAST (SEE BELOW). A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION
WILL PROMOTE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES SATURDAY. PROBLEMATIC FIRE ACTIVITY
FROM NEW IGNITIONS HAS BEEN MINIMAL EVEN WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTNING
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. MORE
CONCENTRATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE COLORADO RIVER BASIN,
BRINGING ABUNDANT LIGHTNING BUT ALSO WETTING THUNDERSTORM CORES,
WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN MITIGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..WILLIAMS.. 09/12/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0151 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL IMPINGE ON THE WEST COAST AS A PRECEDING
UPPER TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE PLAINS STATES TOMORROW (SATURDAY). THE
NET RESULT WILL BE ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ROCKIES TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN
ASSOCIATION TO THE WIDESPREAD LIFTING OF A BUOYANT AIRMASS WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE MORE WET THAN DRY, AND
WILL TRAVERSE AREAS THAT MAY SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ON DAY 1, POTENTIALLY DAMPENING FUELS IN THE PROCESS. WHILE AN
INSTANCE OR TWO OF LIGHTNING-INDUCED WILDFIRE IGNITION CANNOT BE
RULED OUT, THE COVERAGE OF SUCH OCCURRENCES SHOULD BE SPARSE AT
BEST.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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