019
FNUS22 KWNS 031927
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT FRI OCT 03 2025
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
THE ONGOING FORECAST AND ITS REASONING REMAIN VALID. ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WERE MADE. LOCALLY ELEVATED TO ELEVATED CONDITIONS REMAIN
POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE MID-MISSOURI VALLEY.
SOME AREAS HAVE HAD PRECIPITATION RECENT WHICH WILL LOCALLY REDUCE
THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. THE POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LIMIT
THE NORTHWESTERN EXTENT OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..WENDT.. 10/03/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0155 AM CDT FRI OCT 03 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WEST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS
IT MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE PLAINS SATURDAY. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD A DRY AND WARM AIR MASS SOUTH AND EAST OF
A SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS 20-30
MPH ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. UNUSUALLY WARM TEMPERATURES
ARE ALSO EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON HELPING TO BOLSTER LOW
AFTERNOON RH. THIS STRONG MIXING SHOULD LIMIT SURFACE MOISTURE WITH
RH VALUES OF 20-25% ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. CONTINUED CURING OF
FINE FUELS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT SEVERAL HOURS OF ELEVATED
FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..MIDWEST
FARTHER EAST, DIURNAL HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT BE AS LOW ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER. HOWEVER, VERY DRY SURFACE
CONDITIONS OVER PRECEDING WEEKS HAVE RESULTED IN PLENTIFUL AND DRY
FINE FUELS. THE INCREASINGLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS OF
25-30 MPH WILL LIKELY STILL SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL
FROM EASTERN NE INTO PARTS OF IA AND WESTERN MN DESPITE DIURNAL RH
MINIMUMS OF ONLY 35-40%.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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