496
ACUS03 KWNS 071926
SWODY3
SPC AC 071925
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2025
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A DEEP MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC COAST AND ADJACENT EASTERN PACIFIC ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE
PRISCILLA IS FORECAST BY NHC TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OFF OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST, AS IT BEGINS TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE DEEP
WESTERN TROUGH. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH PRISCILLA WILL ADVANCE
NORTHWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST, GREAT BASIN, AND EVENTUALLY
THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST, AND WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD
TOWARD THE GULF COAST AND FLORIDA PENINSULA. GENERALLY DISORGANIZED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT, WITHIN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE
AND WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST AND UPPER GREAT LAKES, WEAK MOISTENING IS
EXPECTED LATER IN THE DAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT, IN RESPONSE TO A
VIGOROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD OUT
OF NORTHWEST ONTARIO. BUOYANCY MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
SPORADIC ELEVATED CONVECTION WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL WARM-ADVECTION
REGIME THURSDAY NIGHT.
..DEAN.. 10/07/2025
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