264  
ACUS01 KWNS 090034  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 090032  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0732 PM CDT WED OCT 08 2025  
 
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST TONIGHT.  
   
..01Z UPDATE  
 
DOMINANT UPPER RIDGE REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY  
THIS EVENING. THIS FLOW REGIME CONTINUES TO FAVOR A FEW MINOR  
DISTURBANCES, AND SEASONALLY HIGH PW VALUES, ADVANCING AROUND THE  
PERIPHERY FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. ONE  
SUCH FEATURE APPEARS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR ONGOING SCATTERED  
CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN AZ INTO NORTHERN NM. SOME RISK FOR  
LIGHTNING CONTINUES ACROSS THIS REGION AS 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM  
TUS/FGZ/ABQ ALL EXHIBITED FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH ADEQUATE  
BUOYANCY FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S., PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS  
ADVANCING OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST EARLY THIS EVENING.  
ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT HAS ADVANCED TO COASTAL NC/SC, EXTENDING  
INTO THE FL PANHANDLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NOTED ALONG  
THIS BOUNDARY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN SHIFT OFFSHORE WITH THE  
WIND SHIFT.  
 
..DARROW.. 10/09/2025  
 
 
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