866
ACUS02 KWNS 091710
SWODY2
SPC AC 091708
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1208 PM CDT THU OCT 09 2025
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.
..SOUTHWEST
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROBABLE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST, AS TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE SLOWLY
INCREASES DOWNSTREAM OF TC PRISCILLA. A MORNING RAIN SWATH ALONG
WITH WEAKENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT OVERALL INSTABILITY
ACROSS THE REGION. BUT A MESOSCALE CORRIDOR OF GREATER
BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING MAY OCCUR OUTSIDE OF THE MORE PERSISTENT
SWATH OF CLOUDINESS/RAIN THAT LINGERS THROUGH THE DAY. THIS COULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR THAT SUPPORTS A STORM OR
TWO PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS.
..ELSEWHERE
POOR LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, ALONG WITH WEAK BUOYANCY FROM
THE GREAT LAKES TO THE OZARKS AND IN THE NORTHWEST, SHOULD SUPPORT
ONLY GENERAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MAINLY ISOLATED, WITH SCATTERED ELEVATED STORMS PROBABLE FRIDAY
MORNING IN THE MO VICINITY AND SCATTERED SURFACE-BASED STORMS IN
SOUTH FL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..GRAMS.. 10/09/2025
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