424
ACUS03 KWNS 101921
SWODY3
SPC AC 101920
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ON SUNDAY
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
A SURFACE CYCLONE NEAR THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SHOULD GRADUALLY FILL
AS IT DRIFTS NORTH, OFFSHORE OF THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC. WHILE A
STRONG STORM IS POSSIBLE AROUND 12Z SUNDAY IN THE OUTER BANKS
VICINITY, WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND A HIGHLY CONFINED
SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR PRECLUDE A LEVEL 1-MRGL RISK HIGHLIGHT.
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS LARGELY ANTICIPATED IN THE CENTRAL STATES
WITH MINIMAL SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. CONVECTION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTION MAY PERSIST IN MULTIPLE ROUNDS THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL WARM CONVEYOR ATTENDANT TO A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
CANADA. ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION SHOULD AWAIT
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING/NIGHT, AS REMNANTS OF TC PRISCILLA APPROACH.
THE LATTER WILL ALSO SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SURFACE-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS, PEAKING IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. ACROSS
ALL REGIMES, WEAK INSTABILITY AND/OR BUOYANCY PRECLUDE SEVERE
HIGHLIGHTS FOR THIS CYCLE.
..GRAMS.. 10/10/2025
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