951
FNUS22 KWNS 181944
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2025
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
..SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
ENHANCED NORTHEAST WINDS OF UP TO 15 MPH IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX SUNDAY. THE SUBSTANTIALLY DRIER
POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS AND DAYTIME MIXING SHOULD RESULT IN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 15% ACROSS THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OVERLAP WITH DRY, DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS TO PROMOTE
AN INCREASED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX, WHERE
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED.
..SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
DEEP WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE COLORADO PLATEAU AND WEAK LEE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT LOCALIZED
ENHANCED WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY THROUGH
WIND PRONE GAPS IN THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE AND SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER, FUELS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY DRY WITH CURING OF
FINER FUELS ONGOING SO A WIDESPREAD FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT
EXPECTED.
..NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN VERMONT
WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING SURFACE
LOW AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN NY/VT
SUNDAY. DRY FUELS UNDER SEVERE/EXTREME DROUGHT EXIST ACROSS THE
REGION. SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
IN THE 35-45% RANGE AMID DROUGHT STRESSED FUELS AND AUTUMNAL LEAF
DROP WILL PRESENT LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK FOR THE AREA
SUNDAY BEFORE MUCH NEEDED RAIN ARRIVES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY
3/MONDAY PERIOD.
..WILLIAMS.. 10/18/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0142 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW ON SUNDAY ACROSS
THE CONUS. A COOL CONTINENTAL AIR MASS WILL SETTLE IN ACROSS MUCH OF
THE PLAINS WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE, WHICH WILL AID IN HIGHER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM EAST
TEXAS INTO ARKANSAS/MISSOURI AND THE SOUTHEAST AS A BROAD TROUGH
MOVES EASTWARD. THIS SHOULD AID IN MOISTENING FUELS AFTER BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 30-60 DAYS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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