928
FNUS21 KWNS 221654
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2025
VALID 221700Z - 231200Z
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW DRY RETURN FLOW ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY, COMMENCING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AND
DRYING SHOULD RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 15-20%
RANGE ALONG WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH (LOCALLY 20 MPH)
ACROSS THE TX EASTERN TX PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON.
DRY FUELS AND CURING GRASSES ALONG WITH THE BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASED WILDFIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL,
WHERE ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS ARE NOW IN PLACE.
..CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/PIEDMONT REGION
STRONG WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A 65-75 KNOT
MID-LEVEL JET OVER THE APPALACHIANS WILL PERSIST TODAY. ENHANCED
DOWNSLOPE DRYING WITHIN A POST-FRONTAL FLOW ENVIRONMENT AND DAYTIME
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING SHOULD LEAD TO DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE PIEDMONT REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE
MAINTAINED FOR WEST WINDS OF UP 15 MPH (LOCALLY HIGHER IN FAVORED
TERRAIN) AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 20-30% AMID PERSISTENT DRY FUELS
ACROSS THE REGION.
..WILLIAMS.. 10/22/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0148 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
..CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO MANITOBA AS A COLD FRONT
SHIFTS OFF THE EAST COAST USHERING MOISTURE OUT OF THE REGION.
BEHIND THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS
MUCH THE APPALACHIANS. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ENHANCE DOWNSLOPE
FLOW ACROSS THE PIEDMONT REGION AND LEAD TO FURTHER DRYING, WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY LOWER) AND
WINDS 10-15 (GUSTING UP TO 20-30 MPH). THIS SUPPORTS MAINTAINING AN
ELEVATED AREA WITH THIS OUTLOOK.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HAS BEEN SHUNTED SOUTHWARD WITH
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS. CONTINUED POST
FRONTAL BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY BRING LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS AS AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPS TO 15-20 PERCENT
ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. FOR NOW, IT APPEARS
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED, THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL BE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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