449
FNUS21 KWNS 230441
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2025
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A DRY POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY DRY WESTERLY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS/PIEDMONT FOR A PERIOD OF
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30-35
PERCENT WILL OVERLAP WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 10-15 MPH (GUSTING 30 MPH
IN A FEW LOCATIONS). THIS WILL BE THE SECOND DAY OF PRONOUNCED
DRYING OF FUELS AND LEAF FALL. RECENT FUELS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ERCS
ARE NEARING THE 75TH-80TH PERCENTILE FOR DRYNESS. OVERALL, ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE KEEPS WINDS LARGELY BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, THOUGH SOME
LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN MORE WIND FAVORED AREAS.
AS SUCH, AN ELEVATED RISK AREA WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS OUTLOOK.
..THORNTON.. 10/23/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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