379
ACUS03 KWNS 240728
SWODY3
SPC AC 240727
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2025
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. A SECOND ROUND OF STRONG STORMS IS
POSSIBLE LATE, THOUGH UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH.
..CENTRAL GULF COAST
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER EAST TX IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN WHILE
MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. AN
MCS IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING EARLY SUNDAY OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW, THIS CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD WITH A CONTINUED ISOLATED DAMAGING
GUST THREAT ACROSS SOUTHERN LA AND MS. THE MCS SHOULD BEGIN TO
WEAKEN BY MIDDAY AS IT OUTPACES THE SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR
FARTHER EAST.
ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY REDEVELOP OVER ADJACENT GULF WATERS LATE
SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AIDED BY ONSHORE FLOW ASSOCIATED
WITH A MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN AL
AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. IT REMAINS UNCLEAR IF THE MORE
UNSTABLE SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR ATTENDANT TO A MARITIME FRONT
WILL MOVE INLAND IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLIER MCS/OUTFLOW. SHOULD IT
DO SO, SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS AND BRIEF TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN AL AND THE WESTERN FL
PANHANDLE INTO EARLY MONDAY.
..LYONS.. 10/24/2025
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