089
ACUS02 KWNS 261708
SWODY2
SPC AC 261706
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY. LITTLE TO NO SEVERE STORM RISK IS
EXPECTED.
..SOUTHERN GA INTO FL
A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON MONDAY, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS BRINGING DRYING
ACROSS MS/AL. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM COASTAL SC
ACROSS SOUTHERN GA AND INTO THE FL PANHANDLE, WITH UPPER 60S F
DEWPOINTS TO THE SOUTH. MLCAPE OVER 1500 J/KG MAY DEVELOP, AIDED BY
COOL MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES. SCATTERED DAYTIME STORMS WILL DEVELOP,
WITH MINIMAL SEVERE POTENTIAL. ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS IN THE UPPER
LEVELS MAY AID MINIMAL HAIL PRODUCTION TO AN EXTENT, BUT SEVERE HAIL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO MARGINAL SUPERCELL POTENTIAL. DAMAGING
WINDS APPEAR UNLIKELY GIVEN MAINLY CELLULAR STORM MODE AND WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WINDS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
A POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA WITH
-20 C AT 500 MB BY 00Z INTO NORTHEAST CO AND WESTERN NE. HEATING
WILL OCCUR WITHIN A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THOSE AREAS AS
WELL, RESULTING IN VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM THE SURFACE TO THE
MIDLEVELS. MOISTURE WILL BE A MAJOR LIMITING FACTOR FOR ANY STRONG
TO SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL. HOWEVER, EVEN WITH LOW DEWPOINTS, LIFT
ALONG THE FRONT, TIMED WITH PEAK HEATING AND BENEATH EXCEPTIONAL
COOLING ALOFT MAY LEAD TO SCATTERED CONVECTION AFTER 21Z. STRONG
GUSTS AND PERHAPS VERY SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..JEWELL.. 10/26/2025
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