301
ACUS03 KWNS 301915
SWODY3
SPC AC 301914
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE
TEXAS GULF COAST ON SATURDAY. SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW AT THIS
TIME.
..DISCUSSION
A POSITIVELY-TILTED MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY AS IT
MOVES QUICKLY SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY. A COLD
FRONT, ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS TEXAS AND LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY. SOUTH OF THIS COLD FRONT
SOME INLAND MOISTURE PENETRATION IS ANTICIPATED. INSTABILITY REMAINS
UNCERTAIN, BUT AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS
COASTAL TEXAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, FORCING APPEARS TO BE
MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT WHERE INSTABILITY
REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE, WHILE SOME ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE ON SATURDAY, CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
ELSEWHERE IN THE CONUS, A COOL/CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN
MOSTLY STABLE/DRY CONDITIONS.
..BENTLEY.. 10/30/2025
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