863
FNUS21 KWNS 040531
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST MON NOV 03 2025
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..SYNOPSIS
THE UPPER-LEVEL JET WILL BE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE
U.S. TODAY. AT THE SURFACE, A MODEST LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
WITH THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENING TO THE EAST AND STRONG MID-LEVEL
WINDS ACROSS THE TERRAIN, 15-25 MPH WINDS (HIGHER NEAR THE TERRAIN)
WILL BE PROBABLE BY THE AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PROMOTE
15-20% RH IN PARTS OF EASTERN WYOMING INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA. A FEW
HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER ARE EXPECTED.
..PORTIONS OF LOWER GREAT LAKES
DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR IS EVIDENT IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND REGIONAL
SOUNDINGS MONDAY EVENING. AS A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS IN THE NORTHERN
PLAINS, A BELT OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. HOW LOW
RH WILL FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON IS NOT CERTAIN. MID/UPPER-LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL PLAY A LARGE ROLE IN HOW MUCH SURFACE HEATING WILL
OCCUR. RH COULD FALL AS LOW AS AROUND 20% FROM SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS/INDIANA/OHIO. DRY FUELS IN THE REGION WOULD
SUPPORT SOME LEVEL OF FIRE CONCERNS. HOWEVER, THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE MORE LIKELY TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE DRIER AIR WHERE 10-15 MPH IS
EXPECTED. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
A MODEST LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP BY THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF 10-15
MPH WINDS (PERHAPS LOCALLY HIGHER) WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN PARTS OF
EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS. RH OF
AROUND 20% CAN BE EXPECTED. POCKETS OF FINE FUELS MAY BE MODESTLY
RECEPTIVE TO FIRE SPREAD DUE TO RECENT LACK OF RAINFALL AND A HARD
FREEZE. BRIEF, LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR WHERE THE MOST
FAVORABLE WINDS/RH ALIGN.
..WENDT.. 11/04/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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