164
FNUS21 KWNS 060534
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 PM CST WED NOV 05 2025
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. TODAY.
ANOTHER SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND BRING A
WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTH AND EAST. MODERATE TO STRONG MID-LEVEL WINDS
WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ALONG WITH A RELATIVELY STRONG
CROSS-DIVIDE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
A DEEPENING LEE TROUGH AND MID-LEVEL FLOW ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE
SOUTHERN FLANK OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROMOTE AREAS OF 15-20 MPH
WINDS FROM EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS.
RH COULD FALL BELOW 15% IN SOME AREAS, BUT 15-20% WILL OCCUR MORE
BROADLY. PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS 20 MPH WINDS ARE MORE PROBABLE HERE. OVERALL,
THOUGH, ONLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED GIVEN
LIMITED FUEL RECEPTIVENESS REGION WIDE.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE DIVIDE IN
COLORADO/WYOMING. DOWNSLOPE WARMING WILL LOWER RH TO AROUND 15-20%
IN MUCH OF EASTERN COLORADO. WINDS THERE WILL REACH 15-20 MPH
(LOCALLY HIGHER IN THE TERRAIN GAPS). RH IN WYOMING IS NOT LIKELY TO
FALL TO ELEVATED CRITERIA GIVEN THE UNMODIFIED COOLER AIR. PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WILL BE BREEZY (AROUND 20 MPH) ALONG WITH RH
OF 20-25%. DRYING FUELS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
THREAT.
..MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
DRY, SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL AGAIN OCCUR WITHIN THE REGION. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT 25-30% RH AND 10-15 MPH WINDS COULD OCCUR AT LEAST
LOCALLY. DRY FUELS WOULD SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER, BUT
UNCERTAINTY IN THE OCCURRENCE/DURATION OF THESE CONDITIONS REMAINS
HIGH GIVEN MID/UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDS.
..WENDT.. 11/06/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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