781
ACUS02 KWNS 120549
SWODY2
SPC AC 120548
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE, MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF
CA, ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE CA COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE LOW-LEVEL WARM CONVEYOR WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED THURSDAY
MORNING BEFORE WANING SOMEWHAT AS IT GRADUALLY SHIFTS SOUTHWARD IN
CA. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK TO POOR, BUT FLIMSY,
GENERALLY ELEVATED BUOYANCY MAY SPORADICALLY DEVELOP WITHIN THIS
REGIME. MOST CAM GUIDANCE SUGGESTS OCCASIONAL BOUTS OF MORE
PRONOUNCED LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION SHOULD OCCUR, SUPPORTING OVERALL
THUNDER PROBABILITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 11/12/2025
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