224
ACUS01 KWNS 140049
SWODY1
SPC AC 140048
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CST THU NOV 13 2025
VALID 140100Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER PARTS
OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT FORECAST.
..DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST THIS
EVENING INTO PARTS OF THE SIERRA, WITH ACTIVITY AFFECTING COASTAL
AREAS TO THE SOUTH AS WELL. THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM VBG DOES SHOW
MINIMAL MUCAPE ROOTED AROUND 850 MB, SUGGESTING CONTINUED LIGHTNING
FLASH POTENTIAL AS THE LARGE, POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY
MOVES EAST. INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DWINDLE OVERNIGHT, WITH A
CORRESPONDING DECREASE IN ELEVATED CONVECTION.
..JEWELL.. 11/14/2025
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