615
ACUS03 KWNS 151919
SWODY3
SPC AC 151918
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0118 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OZARKS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW.
..DISCUSSION
THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IN THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON SUNDAY WILL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS
AND INTO THE MIDWEST ON MONDAY. ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS AND OZARKS AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY
MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE
MONDAY EVENING/OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG
ENOUGH FOR SMALL HAIL, BUT UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING MOISTURE
RETURN/DESTABILIZATION PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR SEVERE WEATHER
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
..BENTLEY.. 11/15/2025
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