040
ACUS48 KWNS 250902
SWOD48
SPC AC 250901
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
VALID 281200Z - 031200Z
..DISCUSSION
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SHOULD BE LIMITED DURING THE DAY ON D4/FRIDAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY, CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE COUNTRY. BY FRIDAY NIGHT, RETURN FLOW ACROSS TEXAS WILL
STRENGTHEN AS A 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS. THIS MAY
RESULT IN SOME WEAK ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY.
..D5/SAT TO D8/TUE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MID TO UPPER 60S
DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED EITHER ONSHORE OR CLOSE TO ONSHORE BY THIS
WEEKEND. HOWEVER, EVOLUTION OF THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS QUITE
UNCERTAIN. THIS MID-LEVEL PATTERN WILL LARGELY DICTATE THE TIMING
AND INLAND PENETRATION OF RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.
THEREFORE, BROAD SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL EXISTS SATURDAY TO
TUESDAY, BUT MORE SPECIFIC TIMING OR INTENSITY INFORMATION IS NOT
AVAILABLE AT HIS TIME DUE TO THE LARGE UNCERTAINTIES.
..BENTLEY.. 11/25/2025
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