345
ACUS11 KWNS 252037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252036
ALZ000-MSZ000-252230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 641...
VALID 252036Z - 252230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 641 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE REMAIN
POSSIBLE WHERE SURFACE HEATING/LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES REMAIN
STRONGEST THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAKENING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
EVENTUAL LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
DISCUSSION...OVERALL TRENDS FOR STORMS WITHIN WW 641 THIS AFTERNOON
HAVE BEEN FOR RELATIVELY BRIEF INTENSIFICATION. A FEW CELLS HAVE
CONTINUED TO SHOW WEAK LOW-LEVEL ROTATION, BUT THIS HAS ALSO BEEN
RATHER TRANSIENT. LOCAL VAD DATA SUGGEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS
WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, BUT IS STILL SUFFICIENT FOR BRIEF TORNADO
POTENTIAL. THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE MAXIMIZED WHERE SURFACE HEATING
HAS BEEN GREATEST: SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM AND PARTS OF
SOUTHERN/EAST-CENTRAL ALABAMA. STORMS SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN
SOME INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. BEYOND THAT POINT,
DIMINISHING SURFACE HEATING WILL LEAD TO A WEAKENING TREND LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
..WENDT.. 11/25/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 30918882 31128901 32308825 33068771 33398744 33508704
33418632 33308567 32798550 32608544 31668621 31188732
30918882
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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