337
ACUS03 KWNS 300829
SWODY3
SPC AC 300828
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY APPEARS VERY LOW.
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL RAPIDLY TRAVERSE THE EASTERN U.S. AS ANOTHER
UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE INTERIOR WEST ON DAY 3/ TUESDAY. A
SURFACE LOW, POSITIONED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S., IS POISED TO
QUICKLY DEEPEN WHILE EJECTING INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE DAY 3
PERIOD. STRONG WARM-AIR ADVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL
PROMOTE A CONTINUOUS FLUX OF MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED BUOYANCY AHEAD
OF THE UPPER TROUGH. A BROAD RAIN SHIELD WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY MORNING, AND THIS
BAND WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD TO THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE DAY.
SOME GUIDANCE HINTS AT A BRIEF OVERLAP OF SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM A DEPARTING LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN GA AND IMMEDIATE SURROUNDING AREAS. IF
SUCH A HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE CORRIDOR CAN DEVELOP, AND A STRONGER
THUNDERSTORM TRACKS THROUGH THIS CORRIDOR, LARGE, CURVED HODOGRAPHS
MAY SUPPORT STRONG LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. NONETHELESS, CONFIDENCE IN
THIS SCENARIO IS TOO LOW FOR THE DELINEATION OF SEVERE PROBABILITIES
AT THIS TIME.
..SQUITIERI.. 11/30/2025
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