806
ACUS03 KWNS 010825
SWODY3
SPC AC 010824
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CST MON DEC 01 2025
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA ON
WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY APPEARS VERY LOW.
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY, RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVERSPREADING MOST OF THE CONUS. STATIC
STABILITY ACCOMPANYING THIS WIDESPREAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD
LIMIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER MOST LOCALES. THE ONE EXCEPTION
WILL BE PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA, WHERE LOW-LEVEL LEE
TROUGHING AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET. WARM-AIR ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT BOTH
ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND ASCENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IF A MORE APPRECIABLE
SURFACE-BASED AIRMASS CAN ADVECT INLAND, A COUPLE OF SEVERE STORMS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER, THE CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS
CURRENTLY TOO LOW FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
..SQUITIERI.. 12/01/2025
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