678
ACUS01 KWNS 021624
SWODY1
SPC AC 021622
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CST TUE DEC 02 2025
VALID 021630Z - 031200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
NO ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY.
..NORTHEAST FL
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS SPREADING ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES TODAY,
WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHEAST GA AND NORTHERN
FL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT, IN A MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. WHILE A STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT LATE
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST FL, THE AREA OF CONCERN IS SMALL
ENOUGH AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE WEAK ENOUGH TO SUGGEST THE RISK IS
LESS THAN 5%.
..OUTER BANKS NC
A SURFACE LOW HAS FORMED ALONG THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING EASTWARD
ACROSS EASTERN NC. THIS IS AIDING THE CREATION OF FAVORABLE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES FROM THE OUTER BANKS EASTWARD/OFFSHORE.
RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS SEVERAL ROTATING STORMS OFFSHORE, AND THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO REMAIN JUST EAST OF THE COAST, SO NO
PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADDED.
..HART/MOORE.. 12/02/2025
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