463
ACUS02 KWNS 051652
SWODY2
SPC AC 051650
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CST FRI DEC 05 2025
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A LOW-AMPLITUDE MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON SATURDAY, AND THEN MOVE
OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. UPSTREAM, A
MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TOWARD THE MID MS
VALLEY.
DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS ON SATURDAY. WEAK CONVECTION AND POSSIBLY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA, IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAKENING FRONT. LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST VICINITY, NORTH OF AN OFFSHORE FRONT THAT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD. WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR, GENERALLY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MODEST BUOYANCY
ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT ORGANIZED-SEVERE POTENTIAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
..DEAN.. 12/05/2025
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