040
ACUS02 KWNS 120601
SWODY2
SPC AC 120559
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE KEYS SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN ON SATURDAY WILL FEATURE A RIDGE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS WITH TROUGHING ACROSS THE EAST. THIS MID-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL AMPLIFY ON SATURDAY AS A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET STREAK MOVES FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT
WILL SHARPEN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE PLAINS AND MOVE SOUTH
RAPIDLY SATURDAY EVENING.
..SOUTH FLORIDA
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL START TO ADVECT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. IF THIS ADVECTS FAR ENOUGH NORTH DURING
THE DAY, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ON THE EASTERN SEA
BREEZE. DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRAVERSES THE GULF. LIMITED INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT FROM THIS ACTIVITY.
SHALLOW CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT
FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT
WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD LIMIT LIGHTNING POTENTIAL.
..BENTLEY.. 12/12/2025
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