030
ACUS48 KWNS 160858
SWOD48
SPC AC 160856
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
VALID 191200Z - 241200Z
..DISCUSSION
A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING FROM PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND CAROLINAS FRIDAY MORNING. IF
SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION CAN OCCUR, A FEW ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE. IN THE WAKE
OF THIS COLD FRONT, AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL
BEGINS. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO ADVECT INLAND
ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA, BUT NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED. 60S DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM TEXAS
TO INLAND LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED. EVEN IF SOME
THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR EARLY NEXT WEEK, AS INDICATED BY THE 00Z ECMWF
ACROSS MS/TN, THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN SOUTH OF THE STRONGER
MID-LEVEL FLOW AND WITHOUT STRONG DESTABILIZATION, WILL BE UNLIKELY
TO BE SEVERE.
..BENTLEY.. 12/16/2025
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page