232
FNUS21 KWNS 161649
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1049 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
VALID 161700Z - 171200Z
A TRIO OF TARGETED ELEVATED RISK AREAS HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. SEVERAL DAYS OF DRY
CONDITIONS WITH INTERMITTENT DOWNSLOPE FLOW HAS ALLOWED FOR STEADY
FINE FUEL DRYING ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS WITH ERCS INCREASING TO THE
65-75TH PERCENTILES FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CO AND NM. THE CONTINUED
DEEPENING OF A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS TODAY WILL INDUCE
STRENGTHENING WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME REGIONS
EXPERIENCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH (GUSTING TO 30 MPH AT
TIMES). 16 UTC SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW RH REDUCTIONS ALREADY
TRENDING LOWER THAN ANTICIPATED BY MORNING GUIDANCE AHEAD OF AND
BEHIND LINGERING CLOUD COVER. WITH FURTHER RH REDUCTIONS (INTO THE
15-25% RANGE) LIKELY AMID DAYTIME HEATING, AREAS OF ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR PROBABLE FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE MOST FAVORABLE OVERLAP OF DRYING FUELS, STRONG WINDS,
AND DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD RESIDE ACROSS SOUTHEAST WY/NORTHEAST CO,
SOUTHEAST CO INTO NORTHEAST NM, AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NM.
..MOORE.. 12/16/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1152 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE NORTHWEST, THE UPPER RIDGE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN TODAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH/FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. SOME LOCALLY DRY
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MARGINAL OUTSIDE OF A FEW
TERRAIN-FAVORED ZONES. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR, BUT
GREATER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page