436
ACUS02 KWNS 260546
SWODY2
SPC AC 260544
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
..MIDWEST
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY MORNING SUNDAY, WITHIN A BROAD LOW-LEVEL WARM
CONVEYOR AHEAD OF AN EXPANSIVE POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE
WEST. GUIDANCE DOES DIFFER IN THE DEGREE OF COVERAGE PRIOR TO 12Z
SUNDAY, WITH GREATER CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL EXPECTED ON D3. THIS
APPEARS LARGELY TIED TO THE DEGREE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND ATTENDANT
MOISTENING/REMOVAL OF PRIOR INHIBITION. SMALL HAIL SEEMS PLAUSIBLE
GIVEN ADEQUATE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR, CENTERED ON THE MID-MS VALLEY
VICINITY. BUT MEAGER ELEVATED BUOYANCY IS ANTICIPATED WHERE
CONVECTION FORMS, RENDERING NEGLIGIBLE SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL.
..GRAMS.. 12/26/2025
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