261
FNUS21 KWNS 291548
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VALID 291700Z - 301200Z
MINOR MODIFICATIONS WERE MADE BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND
HIGH-RESOLUTION FORECAST GUIDANCE. LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST FROM THE PIEDMONT, BUT DRY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FILTERING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. COMBINING AND
EXPANDING THE ELEVATED AREAS WAS CONSIDERED, BUT RECENT AND EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION TODAY PRECLUDED THIS CHANGE. HOWEVER, LOCALLY ELEVATED
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTH/EAST TEXAS THROUGH SOUTH ALABAMA
IN A DRY, BREEZY POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS.
..NAUSLAR.. 12/29/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0139 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WHILE EJECTING
INTO THE ATLANTIC, SUPPORTING A DEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME
ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT SURGES OFFSHORE
TODAY. THE POST COLD-FRONTAL REGIME ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
INTO THE CAROLINAS WILL PROMOTE 15 MPH SUSTAINED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY
SURFACE WINDS AMID 25-25 PERCENT RH (PERHAPS LOCALLY LOWER IN SOME
SPOTS). ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS ARE WARRANTED GIVEN DRY FUELS THAT HAVE
NOT EXPERIENCED RAINFALL IN 1-2 WEEKS.
SIMILARLY, DRY NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER
THE PLAINS GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP-LAYER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
REGIME. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE WEAKER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS, WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES ALSO EXPECTED. NONETHELESS, WIDESPREAD 15+ MPH
SUSTAINED NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AMID 15-20 PERCENT RH
AND DRYING FUELS NECESSITATES ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page