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ACUS03 KWNS 031921
SWODY3
SPC AC 031920
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CST SAT JAN 03 2026
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SPORADIC LIGHTNING FLASHES APPEAR POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST AND GREAT BASIN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
MEAN TROUGHING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH MONDAY
AS A WEAK PERTURBATION MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WHILE ANOTHER
UPPER WAVE DEEPENS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CA COAST. IN GENERAL, POOR
LAPSE RATES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL FOR MOST INLAND LOCATIONS. HOWEVER, GUIDANCE CONSENSUS HAS
TRENDED TOWARDS VERY WEAK BUOYANCY (LIFTED INDICES AROUND -1 C)
ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND ALONG THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA
COAST WHERE MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE RELATIVELY COOLER IN
PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER DISTURBANCES. THIS MAY BE ADEQUATE FOR
SPORADIC LIGHTNING FLASHES. STILL, LIGHTNING PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED
TO BE ISOLATED AT BEST AND WILL LIKELY PEAK AROUND LATE AFTERNOON.
..MOORE.. 01/03/2026
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