931
FNUS21 KWNS 040711
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CST SUN JAN 04 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES ON SUNDAY. TO THE WEST OF THIS RIDGE AXIS, WESTERLY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD
BEFORE SLOWLY BACKING LATE TO WEST-SOUTHWEST IN THE PERIOD. THIS
WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WARM, DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN COLORADO, NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO, AND THE SURROUNDINGS PLAINS
OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.
FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY PERCENTAGES ACROSS THIS REGION
WILL SUPPORT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, MEANING THAT IT WILL FALL
BELOW THE 20-25% RANGE. THE BIGGEST QUESTION ABOUT FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL BE THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. HIGH-RESOLUTION
GUIDANCE THIS EVENING CONFINES THE STRONGEST WINDS (THOSE IN EXCESS
OF 15 MPH) TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND THE LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS.
GIVEN THE TENDENCY FOR GUIDANCE TO UNDERDO THE STRENGTH OF DOWNSLOPE
WINDS, HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN THE ELEVATED FROM CENTRAL COLORADO
INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES FOR ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
..MARSH.. 01/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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