455
ACUS01 KWNS 051955
SWODY1
SPC AC 051953
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST MON JAN 05 2026
VALID 052000Z - 061200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
..20Z UPDATE
THERE ARE NO CHANGES MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
..BROYLES.. 01/05/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1024 AM CST MON JAN 05 2026/
..DISCUSSION
A PROGRESSIVE LOW-AMPLITUDE FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS,
WITH SPLIT FLOW ALONG THE WEST COAST INCLUDING A SOUTHERN-STREAM
UPPER LOW OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA. SEMI-STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES EXIST IN PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LOW NEAR THE NORTH-CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA COAST, WITH RELATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
MAINLY EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER, THIS THERMODYNAMICALLY CONDUCIVE
ENVIRONMENT WILL TREND LESS FAVORABLE OVER TIME. ADDITIONALLY, A FEW
LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY OCCUR TODAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN EASTWARD-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
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