020
FNUS22 KWNS 091945
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CST FRI JAN 09 2026
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
..SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS AND EDWARDS PLATEAU
A DRY, POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS FOR DAY 2/SATURDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES
EASTWARD AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS AND SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EVOLVING FROM LATE DAY 1/FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY DAY
2/SATURDAY WILL REMAIN LARGELY EAST OF THE EASTERN EXTENT OF
EXISTING ELEVATED HIGHLIGHT AREA ACROSS CENTRAL TX. FARTHER WEST,
DRY CONDITIONS INCLUDING SINGLE DIGIT SURFACE DEW POINTS AND RH
VALUES AS LOW AS 15%, COMBINED WITH BROAD NORTHERLY POST-FRONTAL
FLOW OF 10-15 MPH (LOCALLY SUSTAINED 20 MPH ) WILL PROMOTE A FEW
HOURS OF HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN IN SOUTH-CENTRAL TX AND
EDWARDS PLATEAU SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DIMINISH
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WINDS RELAX AND COLDER
TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S SETTLE INTO REGION.
..WILLIAMS.. 01/09/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0157 AM CST FRI JAN 09 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
MID-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL US D2/SATURDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH, A COLD FRONT WILL
SWEEP SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. A DRY POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS
WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS, WITH THE DRIEST PORTIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL OVERLAP WITH THE DRY AIR
MASS LIKELY SUPPORTING ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX AND THE BIG BEND REGION SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
AS THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD, THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW
FAR WEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OVERNIGHT D1/FRIDAY INTO EARLY
D2/SATURDAY. LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY BE
POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST IF SIGNIFICANT RAIN DOES NOT FALL. HOWEVER,
THE MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR IS FARTHER WEST TOWARD THE BIG BEND REGION
WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST RH ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST.
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS WILL QUICKLY ABATE NEAR SUNSET AS A COOLER AIR
MASS ENHANCES RH RECOVERIES AND WINDS SLACKEN.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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