620
ACUS01 KWNS 101623
SWODY1
SPC AC 101622
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
VALID 101630Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EAST-CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA...
..SUMMARY
AN ISOLATED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
..MS/AL/GA/FL PANHANDLE
RADAR MOSAIC LATE THIS MORNING SHOWS AN EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE BAND
FROM THE SC/GA/NC BORDER SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE MS COAST. THE AIRMASS
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE IS SEASONABLY MOIST WITH
DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM NEAR 70 DEG F ALONG THE COAST TO THE LOWER
60S IN NORTHEAST GA. RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MEAGER
BUOYANCY WERE SAMPLED BY THE 12 UTC FFC (ATLANTA, GA) RAOB.
HOWEVER, THE MORE NORTH-SOUTH SEGMENTS OF THE SQUALL LINE ARE MORE
FAVORABLY ORIENTED TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY MEAN FLOW FIELDS ACROSS
THE REGION. AS A RESULT, THE RISK FOR DAMAGING GUSTS AND PERHAPS A
BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON NEAR
THE AL-GA BORDER. A LOWER PERCEIVED RISK FOR SEVERE LIKELY EXISTS
FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN GA/UPSTATE SC WHERE BUOYANCY IS
WEAKER, AND FARTHER SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHERN AL AND THE GULF COAST
WHERE THE CONVECTIVE LINE IS FURTHER DISPLACED FROM STRONGER
FORCING/LOW-LEVEL MASS RESPONSE.
A FRONTAL SEGMENT PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND MID SOUTH
WILL CONSOLIDATE WITH A FRONT SEGMENT ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF
COAST, AND SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TONIGHT AND REACH THE FL BIG BEND AND CAROLINA COAST BY DAYBREAK.
..SMITH/HALBERT.. 01/10/2026
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