590
FNUS22 KWNS 131923
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING
NORTH WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH RH
REDUCTIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO AROUND 30% WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ADVECTING SOUTHWARD, THE STRONG NORTH WINDS AND RECEPTIVE FINER
FUELS SHOULD STILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE REFINED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN TX TO COMPENSATE FOR OBSERVED RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A RECENT MID-LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
TX. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS DRIER CONDITIONS (RH BELOW 30% IN
SOME LOCATIONS) CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN IN WESTERN TX
WHERE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS WERE EXPANDED. PLEASE SEE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.
..WILLIAMS.. 01/13/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0218 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
PERSISTENT AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
EASTERN US DAY2/WEDNESDAY. AS THE TROUGH INTENSIFIES, A SURFACE LOW
AND COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EASTWARD. BEHIND THE FRONT, STRONG
NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF THE PLAINS AND
EVENTUALLY THE SOUTHEAST. THIS, AND DRY CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT SOME
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH TX
WEDNESDAY AS THE STRONG UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER THE
EASTERN U.S. ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT, GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF OK AND TX. THIS WILL ENHANCE WILDFIRE
RISK OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AHEAD OF THE COOLER AIR MASS.
STILL, THE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD WILL LIKELY KEEP RH
REDUCTIONS MORE MODEST WITH MINIMUMS AROUND 30%. THIS WILL LIKELY
LIMIT A BROADER SUSTAINED FIRE-WEATHER THREAT, BUT DRY FINE FUELS
REMAIN CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING SOME FIRE SPREAD GIVEN THE WINDY
CONDITIONS.
FARTHER SOUTH, SOME PRECIPITATION MAY TEMPORARILY LIMIT FUELS AS A
WEAK UPPER LOW WITH PRECEDING RAIN WEAKENS OVER CENTRAL TX. STILL,
RAPID DRYING IS EXPECTED GIVEN THE INCREASE IN WINDS AND COULD
SUPPORT DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ALL THE WAY TO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. GIVEN THE STATE OF FUELS AND WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT
AND SPORADIC PRECIPITATION, ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE, BUT CERTAINTY REMAINS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE HIGHLIGHTS
FARTHER SOUTH AT THIS TIME.
..SOUTHEAST
DRY CONDITIONS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. WHILE
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT,
AFTERNOON RH VALUES BELOW 35% AND DRY FUELS COULD SUPPORT LOCALIZED
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS. WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER DARK, THOUGH RAPID
HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OVERNIGHT.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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